Gold fell to an over two-week low on Monday, briefly breaking below the key $1,500 support, as renewed risk appetite and gaining U.S. yields outweighed support for bullion from expectations for interest rate reductions by top central banks.
Spot gold fell 0.3 percent to $1,502.47 per ounce. The metal touched $1,497.30, its lowest since August 23. U.S. gold futures fell 0.3 percent to $1,510.70.
Higher U.S. Treasury yields and a “bit of a renewed risk appetite” are weighing on gold, said Bart Melek, head of commodity strategies at TD Securities in Toronto.
“Gold positions are extremely long right now so its not particularly surprising that we’re seeing some profit-taking and extension of short exposures right now. … The market got a little bit ahead and it’s paring back that attitude.”
Speculators increased their bullish positions in COMEX gold and silver contracts in the week to September 3, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said on Friday.
U.S. Treasury yields rose while stock markets gained on expectations that global central banks will launch stimulus measures to support their economies.
Risk sentiment was also lifted on Friday after China said it would slash the amount of cash that banks must hold as reserves, while U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank would continue to “act as appropriate” to sustain economic expansion.
Traders see a high chance of a quarter percentage point cut to interest rates in the Fed’s September policy meeting . The European Central Bank is also expected to cut rates later this week.
On the flip side, analysts said the lower interest rates would keep gold supported.
Lower interest rates decreases the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and weigh on the dollar, making gold cheaper for investors holding other currencies.
Meanwhile, the dollar eased against a basket of major currencies.
“Across the world, you have so much negative rates, which is a big catalyst for gold and that’s not going away anytime soon,” said Michael Matousek, head trader at U.S. Global Investors.
Spot gold is expected to test technical support at $1,497 per ounce. A break below that could cause a further fall to $1,453, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.
Silver slipped 0.8 percent to $18.02 per ounce, after falling to a near two-week low of $17.89 in the session.
Palladium was up 0.7 percent at $1,546.78 per ounce after hitting $1,562.27, while platinum fell 0.3 percent to $947.05.
Source: Reuters
