Home The WatchIndices news NBK Capital Defines OCI Fair Value At EGP 292.5, Recommends ‘Accumulate’

NBK Capital Defines OCI Fair Value At EGP 292.5, Recommends ‘Accumulate’

by Yomna Yasser

NBK Capital issued a report on Orascom Construction Industries (OCI) (OCIC.CA), defining the stock’s 12-month fair value at EGP 292.50, compared to its market price of EGP 248.20 and recommending an “Accumulate”.

The investment arm of the National Bank of Kuwait (NBK) stated; “We have revised our estimates for OCI. For the construction segment, we have downgraded our EBITDA margin estimates from 13.5% to 11.4% for FY/2012, as OCI’s recently-signed, high-margins contracts, have seen their start up delayed.”

“Beyond FY/2013, we have revised our long-term construction EBITDA margin from 13.5% to 12.5%, to account for lower-than-expected margins mainly in the GCC.”

“For fertilizers, our main revisions again affect FY2012, due primarily to the delayed start-up of Sorfert Algeria and OCI Beaumont. We have raised our product prices for FY/2013, and now are relatively more optimistic on our long-term fertilizer prices assumptions.”.

Accordingly, the report issuer concluded; “Based on our fair values, Orascom Engineering and Construction would trade on an FY/2013 EV/EBITDA of 6x and OCI Fertilizers on an FY/2013 EV/EBITDA of 6.5x, both of which we view as fair in a comparative context”.

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